UK election poll: Labour builds momentum hours before North Shropshire by-election results
Boris Johnson faces revolt by North Shropshire voters
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Labour has only to its momentum in recent days, according to the latest polls. Ahead of the North Shropshire by-election results, the party has grown its lead for another consecutive week. But pollsters don’t believe this will translate to an election victory for Sir Keir Starmer.
Data insights firm Kantar found the party has increased its potential vote share by two percent.
Results from December 9 to 13 show that 38 percent of respondents are now willing to cast their ballot for Keir Starmer.
The same poll showed the Conservatives have fallen behind, potentially hours away from the North Shropshire results.
They forfeited five points and are down to 34 percent from 39 percent.
The Liberal Democrats, currently their closest rivals in the constituency, have risen by one point.
Now on 11 percent from 10, the modest gains show people have rallied behind the party.
But they may forfeit support in North Shropshire, where the Conservatives have made a last-second surge.
Several bookmakers have them as favourites to win by a slim margin.
According to Sporting Index, the Conservatives are most likely to win on 43 percent.
The Liberal Democrats are slightly lagging, at 39.5 percent, while Labour is in last place with just an 11 percent chance.
Coral has gifted Mr Johnson’s candidate, Dr Neil Shastri-Hurst, odds of 4/6.
The Lib Dems are just behind them on 11/10, while Labour has odds of 66/1.
Coral spokesman John Hill said it still appeared there was a “two-horse race” between the Tories and Liberal Democrats.
Labour has also caught on to this, according to a recent statement by Yasmin Qureshi, shadow foreign office minister.
She told Times Radio her party is “never going to win North Shropshire”, conceding the Lib Dems “have an opportunity to do so”.
People could find out who wins in a few hours.
When the Liberal Democrats snatched Chesham and Amersham from the Conservatives, results came in the wee hours.
Electors declared victory for Sarah Green at 2.01am, and they may follow a similar path today.
North Shropshire has a similarly sized electorate to the Buckinghamshire constituency.
Approximately 77,673 people will vote today compared to 71,259 earlier this year.
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